Utility of testing for third-generation anticyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP3) antibodies in individuals who present with new musculoskeletal symptoms but have a negative second-generation anticyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP2) antibody test.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the role of third-generation anticyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP3) antibodies in predicting progression to inflammatory arthritis (IA) in individuals with new musculoskeletal (MSK) symptoms and a negative second-generation anti-CCP antibody test (anti-CCP2-). METHODS: 469 anti-CCP2- individuals underwent baseline anti-CCP3 testing (QUANTA Lite CCP3; Inova Diagnostics) and received a post enrolment 12-month questionnaire. A rheumatologist confirmed or excluded diagnosis of IA. Univariable/multivariable analyses were performed to assess the value of anti-CCP3 in predicting IA development in these anti-CCP2- individuals. RESULTS: Only 16/469 (3.4%) anti-CCP2- individuals had a positive anti-CCP3 test. Of these 16 individuals, 4 developed IA. In addition, 61/469 (13.0%) anti-CCP2- individuals self-reported, to have developed, IA. Progression was confirmed in 43/61 of them (70.5%); of whom 30/43 (69.8%) and 13/43 (30.2%) were given a diagnosis of IA and rheumatoid arthritis (RA), respectively. In qualitative univariable analysis, anti-CCP3 positivity was associated with self-reported progression (p<0.01) and IA (p=0.03), but not with RA. Anti-CCP3 levels differed significantly between progressors and non-progressors (p<0.01) for all three categories. At the manufacturer's cut-off, OR for progression ranged from 2.4 (95% CI 0.5 to 18.6; RA) to 7.5 (95% CI 2.3 to 24.0; self-reported progression). Interestingly, when cut-offs for anti-CCP3 were optimised, lower values (≥5 units) significantly increased the OR for progression in all three categories. In multivariable analysis, anti-CCP3 positivity at the manufacturer's cut-off did not remain associated with IA progression, while this lower cut-off value (≥5 units) was associated with diagnosis of RA (p=0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Anti-CCP3 testing could improve the prediction of IA development in anti-CCP2- individuals with new MSK symptoms.

High prevalence of radiographic erosions in early, untreated PsA: results from the SpARRO cohort.

AIMS: To investigate the prevalence and distribution of bone erosions in an early psoriatic arthritis (PsA) population using conventional radiography (CR) and to explore the agreement between CR and ultrasound (US) detected bone erosions. METHODS: Newly diagnosed, treatment naïve PsA patients fulfilling the ClASsification for Psoriatic Arthritis (CASPAR) classification criteria of ≤5 years symptom duration were recruited as part of the Leeds Spondyloarthropathy Register for Research and Observation and underwent CR and US examination of hands and feet. RESULTS: Overall, 4655 hand and feet joints were assessed in 122 patients. CR erosions were detected in 24.6% (n=30) with lowest prevalence seen below 8 months of symptoms (17.5% vs 24.3%>24 months). The number of erosions was higher on CR (1.55% (63/4,655); US 1.04% (34/3,270)), with 5th metatarsophalangeal (MTP) joint being the most affected site in both CR (5.21% (11/211)) and US (7.14% (15/210)). Erosions in CR were more evenly distributed compared with US where three-quarters of the total number of bone erosions were detected in wrists, second metacarpophalangeal (MCP) and fifth MTP joints. Most joints had almost perfect prevalence-adjusted bias-adjusted kappa values ranging from 0.91 to 1. CONCLUSIONS: Erosions were seen in a quarter of patients with newly diagnosed, untreated PsA with a declining trend around the 8-month symptom duration cut-off. High levels of agreement between CR and US were seen with CR detecting more erosions. A focused US assessment of the wrist, second MCP and fifth MTP joints may be useful to detect bone erosions in early PsA.

Abatacept in individuals at high risk of rheumatoid arthritis (APIPPRA): a randomised, double-blind, multicentre, parallel, placebo-controlled, phase 2b clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Individuals with serum antibodies to citrullinated protein antigens (ACPA), rheumatoid factor, and symptoms, such as inflammatory joint pain, are at high risk of developing rheumatoid arthritis. In the arthritis prevention in the pre-clinical phase of rheumatoid arthritis with abatacept (APIPPRA) trial, we aimed to evaluate the feasibility, efficacy, and acceptability of treating high risk individuals with the T-cell co-stimulation modulator abatacept. METHODS: The APIPPRA study was a randomised, double-blind, multicentre, parallel, placebo-controlled, phase 2b clinical trial done in 28 hospital-based early arthritis clinics in the UK and three in the Netherlands. Participants (aged ≥18 years) at risk of rheumatoid arthritis positive for ACPA and rheumatoid factor with inflammatory joint pain were recruited. Exclusion criteria included previous episodes of clinical synovitis and previous use of corticosteroids or disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) using a computer-generated permuted block randomisation (block sizes of 2 and 4) stratified by sex, smoking, and country, to 125 mg abatacept subcutaneous injections weekly or placebo for 12 months, and then followed up for 12 months. Masking was achieved by providing four kits (identical in appearance and packaging) with pre-filled syringes with coded labels of abatacept or placebo every 3 months. The primary endpoint was the time to development of clinical synovitis in three or more joints or rheumatoid arthritis according to American College of Rheumatology and European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology 2010 criteria, whichever was met first. Synovitis was confirmed by ultrasonography. Follow-up was completed on Jan 13, 2021. All participants meeting the intention-to-treat principle were included in the analysis. This trial was registered with EudraCT (2013-003413-18). FINDINGS: Between Dec 22, 2014, and Jan 14, 2019, 280 individuals were evaluated for eligibility and, of 213 participants, 110 were randomly assigned to abatacept and 103 to placebo. During the treatment period, seven (6%) of 110 participants in the abatacept group and 30 (29%) of 103 participants in the placebo group met the primary endpoint. At 24 months, 27 (25%) of 110 participants in the abatacept group had progressed to rheumatoid arthritis, compared with 38 (37%) of 103 in the placebo group. The estimated proportion of participants remaining arthritis-free at 12 months was 92·8% (SE 2·6) in the abatacept group and 69·2% (4·7) in the placebo group. Kaplan-Meier arthritis-free survival plots over 24 months favoured abatacept (log-rank test p=0·044). The difference in restricted mean survival time between groups was 53 days (95% CI 28-78; p<0·0001) at 12 months and 99 days (95% CI 38-161; p=0·0016) at 24 months in favour of abatacept. During treatment, abatacept was associated with improvements in pain scores, functional wellbeing, and quality-of-life measurements, as well as low scores of subclinical synovitis by ultrasonography, compared with placebo. However, the effects were not sustained at 24 months. Seven serious adverse events occurred in the abatacept group and 11 in the placebo group, including one death in each group deemed unrelated to treatment. INTERPRETATION: Therapeutic intervention during the at-risk phase of rheumatoid arthritis is feasible, with acceptable safety profiles. T-cell co-stimulation modulation with abatacept for 12 months reduces progression to rheumatoid arthritis, with evidence of sustained efficacy beyond the treatment period, and with no new safety signals. FUNDING: Bristol Myers Squibb.

First-in-Human Study of 18F-SynVesT-2: An SV2A PET Imaging Probe with Fast Brain Kinetics and High Specific Binding.

PET imaging of synaptic vesicle glycoprotein 2A allows for noninvasive quantification of synapses. This first-in-human study aimed to evaluate the kinetics, test-retest reproducibility, and extent of specific binding of a recently developed synaptic vesicle glycoprotein 2A PET ligand, (R)-4-(3-(18F-fluoro)phenyl)-1-((3-methylpyridin-4-yl)methyl)pyrrolidine-2-one (18F-SynVesT-2), with fast brain kinetics. Methods: Nine healthy volunteers participated in this study and were scanned on a High Resolution Research Tomograph scanner with 18F-SynVesT-2. Five volunteers were scanned twice on 2 different days. Five volunteers were rescanned with preinjected levetiracetam (20 mg/kg, intravenously). Arterial blood was collected to calculate the plasma free fraction and generate the arterial input function. Individual MR images were coregistered to a brain atlas to define regions of interest for generating time-activity curves, which were fitted with 1- and 2-tissue-compartment (1TC and 2TC) models to derive the regional distribution volume (V T). The regional nondisplaceable binding potential (BP ND) was calculated from 1TC V T, using the centrum semiovale (CS) as the reference region. Results: 18F-SynVesT-2 was synthesized with high molar activity (187 ± 69 MBq/nmol, n = 19). The parent fraction of 18F-SynVesT-2 in plasma was 28% ± 8% at 30 min after injection, and the plasma free fraction was high (0.29 ± 0.04). 18F-SynVesT-2 entered the brain quickly, with an SUVpeak of 8 within 10 min after injection. Regional time-activity curves fitted well with both the 1TC and the 2TC models; however, V T was estimated more reliably using the 1TC model. The 1TC V T ranged from 1.9 ± 0.2 mL/cm3 in CS to 7.6 ± 0.8 mL/cm3 in the putamen, with low absolute test-retest variability (6.0% ± 3.6%). Regional BP ND ranged from 1.76 ± 0.21 in the hippocampus to 3.06 ± 0.29 in the putamen. A 20-min scan was sufficient to provide reliable V T and BP ND Conclusion: 18F-SynVesT-2 has fast kinetics, high specific uptake, and low nonspecific uptake in the brain. Consistent with the nonhuman primate results, the kinetics of 18F-SynVesT-2 is faster than the kinetics of 11C-UCB-J and 18F-SynVesT-1 in the human brain and enables a shorter dynamic scan to derive physiologic information on cerebral blood flow and synapse density.

Predicting Flare in Patients With Rheumatoid Arthritis in Biologic Induced Remission, on Tapering, and on Stable Therapy.

OBJECTIVE: The tapering of biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (b-DMARD) therapy for patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in stable remission is frequently undertaken, but specific guidance on how to successfully taper is lacking. The objective of this study is to identify predictors of flare in patients in stable b-DMARD-induced clinical remission, who did or did not follow structured b-DMARD tapering. METHODS: Patients with RA receiving b-DMARD treatment who had achieved sustained remission according to a Disease Activity Score in 28 joints using the C-reactive protein level (DAS28-CRP) <2.6 for ≥6 months were offered tapering. Clinical, ultrasound (US) (total power Doppler [PD]/grayscale abnormalities), CD4+ T cell subsets, and patient-reported outcomes (PROs) were collected at inclusion. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of flare (loss of DAS28-CRP remission) over 12 months. Logistic regression analyses identified predictors of flare. Dichotomization into high/low-risk groups was based on 80% specificity using the area under the receiving operator curve (AUROC). RESULTS: Of 63 patients choosing tapering, 23 (37%) flared compared with 12 of 60 (20%) on stable treatment (P = 0.043). All patients who flared regained remission upon reinstating treatment. In the tapering group, flare was associated with lower regulatory T cell (Treg) (P < 0.0001) and higher CRP levels (P < 0.0001), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (P < 0.035), and inflammation-related cells (IRCs) (P = 0.054); stepwise modeling selected Tregs (odds ratio [OR] = 0.350, P = 0.004), IRCs (OR = 1.871, P = 0.007), and CRP level (OR = 1.577, P = 0.004) with 81.7% accuracy and AUROC = 0.890. In the continued therapy group, modeling retained the tender joint count, total PD, and visual analog scale pain score, with 82.1% accuracy and AUROC = 0.899. Most patients in the study were considered low risk of flare (80 of 123 patients [65%]). Only 5 of 37 (13.5%) of the low-risk patients who tapered flared, which was notable compared with the continued therapy group (20% flare). CONCLUSION: Flare on tapering b-DMARDs was predicted by lower Tregs and elevated inflammation biomarkers (IRCs/CRP level); flare on continued b-DMARDs was associated with raised pain parameters and US inflammation. Knowledge of these biomarkers should improve outcomes by targeted selection for tapering, and by increased monitoring of those on continued therapy predicted to flare.

Elevated Serum Levels of Zonulin Family Peptides in Anticitrullinated Protein Antibody-Positive At-Risk Individuals Without Arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: Recent advances imply that early events triggering rheumatoid arthritis (RA) occur at mucosal surfaces. We aimed to evaluate whether intestinal permeability is altered in patients at increased risk of RA, and/or predicts the development of clinical arthritis, by measuring serum zonulin family peptides (ZFP) levels, which are shown to reflect intestinal barrier integrity. METHODS: Two independent prospective observational cohorts were studied, including subjects with musculoskeletal symptoms and anticitrullinated protein antibodies (ACPA), but without clinical arthritis at baseline. In Sweden, 82 such at-risk patients were compared to 100 age-matched healthy blood donors. In the UK, 307 at-risk patients were compared to 100 ACPA-negative symptomatic controls. ZFP was measured in baseline sera by enzyme-linked immunoassays. RESULTS: In the Swedish at-risk cohort, ZFP levels were significantly increased in patients compared to controls (mean 41.4 vs 33.6 ng/mL, P < 0.001) and Cox regression analysis showed prognostic value of ZFP for arthritis development (hazard ratio [HZ] 1.04 per ng/mL ZFP increase, 95% CI 1.01-1.07, P = 0.02). Elevated ZFP levels among ACPA-positive at-risk patients compared to symptomatic ACPA-negative controls were confirmed in the UK at-risk cohort (mean 69.7 vs 36.0 ng/mL, P < 0.001), but baseline ZFP were not associated with arthritis development (HR 1.00 per ng/mL ZFP increase, 95% CI 1.00-1.01, P = 0.30). CONCLUSION: Serum ZFP levels are elevated in ACPA-positive at-risk patients when compared to both healthy blood donors and symptomatic ACPA-negative controls. Thus, gut barrier function may be of importance in RA-associated autoimmunity. A possible prognostic value of serum ZFP merits further investigation, preferably in larger prospective cohorts.

Factors associated with resolution of ultrasound subclinical synovitis in anti-CCP-positive individuals with musculoskeletal symptoms: a UK prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Subclinical synovitis occurs in a third of individuals at risk of rheumatoid arthritis. The objective of this study was to assess the reversibility of subclinical synovitis in individuals at risk of rheumatoid arthritis who are positive for anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (CCP) antibody with musculoskeletal symptoms and investigate factors associated with its resolution within 12 months. METHODS: We conducted a single-centre, prospective, cohort study in the UK, recruiting individuals aged 18 years or older who were anti-CCP-positive with a new non-specific musculoskeletal symptom but no clinical synovitis. Referrals were made through primary or secondary care. Participants attended a baseline visit, which included a clinical assessment, blood tests, patient questionnaires, and a musculoskeletal ultrasound scan (ie, of wrists and metacarpophalangeal, proximal interphalangeal, and metatarsophalangeal joints), and then follow-up visits every 3 months for the first year, with a repeat ultrasound scan every 12 months. Participants with subclinical synovitis (ie, grey scale ≥1 and power Doppler ≥1) in at least one joint at baseline were selected for this analysis. Investigation of good prognostic factors by 12 months was done first using univariable analysis to identify significant factors in participants with no missing data. Then receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to establish the optimal cutoffs for significant continuous variables. Finally, a modified Poisson regression approach was performed to identify the best prediction model and was adjusted for confounders, using data from all participants, with missing values imputed. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02012764. FINDINGS: Between June 30, 2008, and Feb 24, 2020, 451 participants consented to participate in the CCP study and 122 (27%) individuals had subclinical synovitis at baseline, of whom 90 (74%) had data available at 12 months. Mean age was 54·1 years (SD 12·5), and 63 (70%) of 90 participants were women and 27 (30%) were men. Subclinical synovitis resolved in 43 (48%) of 90 participants, whereas subclinical synovitis persisted in 47 (52%) participants, 27 (57%) of whom developed clinical synovitis within 12 months. In the multivariable analysis, low anti-CCP titre (relative risk [RR] 1·52, 95% CI 1·04-2·22), negative rheumatoid factor (1·54, 0·92-2·58), subclinical synovitis in only one joint (1·62, 1·04-2·50), and an erythrocyte sedimentation rate of 15 mm/h or lower (1·82, 1·15-2·87) were predictors of subclinical synovitis resolution within 12 months (ie, good prognostic factors). ROC curve showed an area under the curve of 0·84 (95% CI 0·76-0·92; p<0·0001). Resolution occurred in seven (100%) of seven participants with all four factors present, and in only one (7%) of 14 participants with none of the factors present. INTERPRETATION: In individuals who were anti-CCP-positive, subclinical synovitis disappeared in approximately half of the participants by 12 months and was associated with the presence of good prognostic factors. Subclinical synovitis should be interpreted in the context of these additional factors. FUNDING: National Institute for Health Research Leeds Biomedical Research Centre.

Filgotinib Demonstrates Efficacy in Rheumatoid Arthritis Independent of Smoking Status: Post Hoc Analysis of Phase 3 Trials and Claims-Based Analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To assess cigarette smoking's effects on efficacy of the preferential Janus kinase (JAK) 1 inhibitor filgotinib and drug persistence in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: Efficacy in non-smokers, former smokers, and current smokers from phase 3 filgotinib trials was analyzed, including patients with inadequate response (IR) to methotrexate (MTX) or biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs) or who were MTX-naïve. Proportions achieving Disease Activity Score in 28 joints with C-reactive protein (DAS28[CRP]) ≤ 3.2 were compared using logistic regression. Retrospective claims-based switching data were reviewed. RESULTS: Week 12 (W12) DAS28(CRP) ≤ 3.2 was achieved by 50, 61, and 62% of MTX-IR non-smokers, former smokers, and current smokers taking filgotinib 200 mg (FIL200) + MTX vs. 23, 16, and 32% taking placebo + MTX (p < 0.001, < 0.001, and 0.001) and 50, 34, and 33% taking adalimumab + MTX (p = 0.97, 0.013, and 0.006 vs. FIL200 + MTX). W12 DAS28(CRP) ≤ 3.2 was achieved by 46, 48, and 32% of bDMARD-IR non-smokers, former smokers, and current smokers taking FIL200 + conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (csDMARDs) vs. 16, 23, and 5% taking placebo + csDMARD (p < 0.001, 0.077, and 0.051); 57, 58, and 59% of respective MTX-naïve smoking groups achieved W12 DAS28(CRP) ≤ 3.2 with FIL200 + MTX vs. 28, 37, and 18% with MTX (p < 0.001, 0.026, and < 0.001). Claims data showed former/current smokers were likelier than non-smokers to switch from adalimumab to other biologics or JAK inhibitors. CONCLUSIONS: Greater proportions of MTX-IR current/former smokers responded to FIL200 + MTX vs. adalimumab + MTX. In non-smoking MTX-IR, bDMARD-IR, and MTX-naïve patients with RA, FIL200 + MTX demonstrated increased response vs. controls. Current/former smokers were likelier to discontinue adalimumab vs. non-smokers in real-world clinical settings. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT02889796, NCT02873936, NCT02886728.

Initial glucocorticoid bridging in rheumatoid arthritis: does it affect glucocorticoid use over time?

OBJECTIVES: To compare the use of glucocorticoids (GC) over time in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) who were or were not treated initially with GC bridging therapy. METHODS: Data from the BeSt, CareRA and COBRA trials were combined in an individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis. We compared GC use between bridgers and non-bridgers at 12, 18 and 24 months from baseline with mixed-effects regression analysis. Secondary outcomes were mean cumulative GC dose until 24 months after baseline with and without the bridging period, Disease Activity Score based on 28 joints (DAS28) over time and number of disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (DMARD) changes. RESULTS: 252/625 patients (40%) were randomised to GC bridging (bridgers). Excluding the period of bridging, later GC use was low in both groups and cumulative doses were similar. Mean DAS28 was similar between the groups, but bridgers improved more rapidly (p<0.001) in the first 6 months and the bridgers required significantly fewer changes in DMARDs (incidence rate ratio 0.59 (95% CI 0.38 to 0.94)). GC use was higher in the bridgers at t=12 months (OR 3.27 (95% CI 1.06 to 10.08)) and the bridging schedules resulted in a difference in cumulative GC dose of 2406 mg (95% CI 1403 to 3408) over 24 months. CONCLUSION: In randomised trials comparing GC bridging and no GC bridging, bridgers had a more rapid clinical improvement, fewer DMARD changes and similar late use of GC compared with non-bridgers. GC bridging per protocol resulted, as could be expected, in a higher cumulative GC dose over 2 years.

Poly-Refractory Rheumatoid Arthritis: An Uncommon Subset of Difficult to Treat Disease With Distinct Inflammatory and Noninflammatory Phenotypes.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the prevalence of poly-refractory rheumatoid arthritis (RA) defined as failure of all biological (b)/targeted synthetic (ts)-disease-modifying drugs (DMARDs). To further investigate whether patients with persistent inflammatory refractory RA (PIRRA) and noninflammatory refractory RA (NIRRA), determined by objective ultrasound (US) synovitis, have distinct clinical phenotypes in both EULAR difficult-to-treat RA (D2T-RA) and poly-refractory RA groups. METHODS: A cross-sectional study of 1,591 patients with RA on b/tsDMARDs that evaluated D2T-RA criteria and subclassified as poly-refractory if inefficacy/toxicity to at least one drug of all classes. PIRRA was defined if US synovitis in one or more swollen joint and NIRRA if absent. Univariate tests and multivariate logistic regression were conducted to investigate factors associated with poly-refractory, PIRRA, and NIRRA phenotypes. RESULTS: 122 of 1,591 were excluded due to missing data. 247 of 1,469 (16.8%) had D2T-RA and only 40 of 1,469 (2.7%) poly-refractory RA. This latter group had higher disease activity score 28 C-reactive protein (CRP) (median 5.4 vs 5.02, P < 0.05), CRP levels (median 13 vs 5 mg/l, P < 0.01), and smoking (ever) rates (20% vs 4%, P < 0.01) compared with other D2T patients. Smoking was associated with poly-refractory RA (odds ratio 5.067, 95% CI 1.774-14.472, P = 0.002). Of 107 patients with D2T-RA with recent US, 61 (57%) were PIRRA and 46 (43%), NIRRA. Patients with NIRRA had elevated body mass index (median 30 vs 26, P < 0.001) and higher fibromyalgia prevalence (15% vs 3%, P < 0.05), lower swollen joint count (median: 2 vs 5, P < 0.001), and lower CRP levels (5 vs 10, P < 0.01). CONCLUSION: Only 2.7% of D2T-RA failed all classes of b/tsDMARDs. Among D2T-RA, less than 60% had objective signs of inflammation, representing a target for innovative strategies.

Serum and Tissue Biomarkers Associated With Composite of Relevant Endpoints for Sjögren Syndrome (CRESS) and Sjögren Tool for Assessing Response (STAR) to B Cell-Targeted Therapy in the Trial of Anti-B Cell Therapy in Patients With Primary Sjögren Syndrome (TRACTISS).

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to identify peripheral and salivary gland (SG) biomarkers of response/resistance to B cell depletion based on the novel concise Composite of Relevant Endpoints for Sjögren Syndrome (cCRESS) and candidate Sjögren Tool for Assessing Response (STAR) composite endpoints. METHODS: Longitudinal analysis of peripheral blood and SG biopsies was performed pre- and post-treatment from the Trial of Anti-B Cell Therapy in Patients With Primary Sjögren Syndrome (TRACTISS) combining flow cytometry immunophenotyping, serum cytokines, and SG bulk RNA sequencing. RESULTS: Rituximab treatment prevented the worsening of SG inflammation observed in the placebo arm, by inhibiting the accumulation of class-switched memory B cells within the SG. Furthermore, rituximab significantly down-regulated genes involved in immune-cell recruitment, lymphoid organization alongside antigen presentation, and T cell co-stimulatory pathways. In the peripheral compartment, rituximab down-regulated immunoglobulins  and auto-antibodies together with pro-inflammatory cytokines and chemokines. Interestingly, patients classified as responders  according to STAR displayed significantly higher baseline levels of C-X-C motif chemokine ligand-13 (CXCL13), interleukin (IL)-22, IL-17A, IL-17F, and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), whereas a longitudinal analysis of serum T cell-related cytokines showed a selective reduction in both STAR and cCRESS responder patients. Conversely, cCRESS response was better associated with biomarkers of SG immunopathology, with cCRESS-responders showing a significant decrease in SG B cell infiltration and reduced expression of transcriptional gene modules related to T cell costimulation, complement activation, and Fcγ-receptor engagement. Finally, cCRESS and STAR response were associated with a significant improvement in SG exocrine function linked to transcriptional evidence of SG epithelial and metabolic restoration. CONCLUSION: Rituximab modulates both peripheral and SG inflammation, preventing the deterioration of exocrine function with functional and metabolic restoration of the glandular epithelium. Response assessed by newly developed cCRESS and STAR criteria was associated with differential modulation of peripheral and SG biomarkers, emerging as novel tools for patient stratification.

Ultrasound in anti-CCP+ at-risk individuals without clinical synovitis: development of a novel 6-joint protocol for feasible risk prediction.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate, in anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody positive individuals with musculoskeletal symptoms but no clinical synovitis (CCP+ at-risk), the additional value of ultrasound (US) for the prediction of inflammatory arthritis (IA). Furthermore, to define a concise US protocol for feasible risk prediction. METHODS: Demographic and clinical data were collected in 417 CCP+ at-risk (Leeds CCP cohort) with a baseline US scan assessing synovitis and bone erosions in 36 joints, and a follow-up duration ≥24 months. Multivariable binary regression models for IA development at 24 months evaluated routine clinical variables associated with IA alone ("clinical" model) and combined with a 36-joint US scanning protocol ("clinical-US extended" model). A "clinical-US short" model was developed. RESULTS: At 24 months, 92/417 (22.1%) CCP+ at-risk developed IA (median time: 7 months, IQR : 3-12). The "clinical-US extended" model performed better than the "clinical" model (AUC 0.788 vs AUC 0.731 respectively, p< 0.001) with an odds ratio for IA development of 3.18 (95% IC 1.80-5.63) for US synovitis and 2.54 (95% IC 1.21-5.37) for bone erosions. The "clinical-US short" model, which retained the wrists, knees and MTP5 joints, performed better (AUC 0.782) than the "clinical" model (p< 0.001) and similarly (difference in Akaike information criteria <2) to the "clinical-US extended" model. CONCLUSIONS: US provides valuable information for predicting progression to IA in CCP+ individuals both alone and in addition to clinical variables. US synovitis was associated with a threefold increase risk of IA development. A concise US protocol of 6 joints provides clinically feasible risk prediction in CCP+ at-risk.

Whole-body MRI for the investigation of joint involvement in inflammatory arthritis.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to develop a novel whole-body MRI protocol capable of assessing inflammatory arthritis at an early stage in multiple joints in one examination. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Forty-six patients with inflammatory joint symptoms and 9 healthy volunteers underwent whole-body MR imaging on a 3.0 T MRI scanner in this prospective study. Image quality and pathology in each joint, bursae, entheses and tendons were scored by two of three radiologists and compared to clinical joint scores. Participants were divided into three groups based on diagnosis at 1-year follow-up (healthy volunteers, rheumatoid arthritis and all other types of arthritis). Radiology scores were compared between the three groups using a Kruskal-Wallis test. The clinical utility of radiology scoring was compared to clinical scoring using ROC analysis. RESULTS: A protocol capable of whole-body MR imaging of the joints with an image acquisition time under 20 min was developed with excellent image quality. Synovitis scores were significantly higher in patients who were diagnosed with rheumatoid arthritis at 12 months (p < 0.05). Radiology scoring of bursitis showed statistically significant differences between each of the three groups-healthy control, rheumatoid arthritis and non-rheumatoid arthritis (p < 0.05). There was no statistically significant difference in ROC analysis between MRI and clinical scores. CONCLUSION: This study has developed a whole-body MRI joint imaging protocol that is clinically feasible and shows good differentiation of joint pathology between healthy controls, patients with rheumatoid arthritis and patients with other forms of arthritis.

DNA Hypomethylation in the TNF-Alpha Gene Predicts Rheumatoid Arthritis Classification in Patients with Early Inflammatory Symptoms.

Biomarkers for the classification of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), and particularly for anti-citrullinated peptide antibody (ACPA)-negative patients, remain an important hurdle for the early initiation of treatment. Taking advantage of DNA-methylation patterns specific to early RA, quantitative methylation-specific qPCR (qMSP) offers a robust technology for the development of biomarkers. We developed assays and established their value as RA classification biomarkers. METHODS: DNA-methylation data were screened to select candidate CpGs to design qMSP assays. Eight assays were developed and tested on two early inflammatory arthritis cohorts. Logistic regression and bootstrapping were used to demonstrate the added value of the qMSP assays. RESULT: Differentially methylated CpG data were screened for candidate CpG, thereby meeting the qMSP assay requirements. The top CpG candidate was in the TNF gene, for which we successfully developed a qMSP assay. Significantly lower DNA-methylation levels were observed in RA (p < 4 × 10-9), with a high predictive value (OR < 0.54/AUC < 0.198) in both cohorts (n = 127/n = 157). Regression using both datasets showed improved accuracy = 87.7% and AUC = 0.944 over the model using only clinical variables (accuracy = 85.2%, AUC = 0.917). Similar data were obtained in ACPA-negative patients (n = 167, accuracy = 82.6%, AUC = 0.930) compared to the clinical variable model (accuracy = 79.5%, AUC = 0.892). Bootstrapping using 2000 datasets confirmed that the AUCs for the clinical+TNF-qMSP model had significant added value in both analyses. CONCLUSION: The qMSP technology is robust and can successfully be developed with a high specificity of the TNF qMSP assay for RA in patients with early inflammatory arthritis. It should assist classification in ACPA-negative patients, providing a means of reducing time to diagnosis and treatment.

Lymphocyte subset phenotyping for the prediction of progression to inflammatory arthritis in anti-citrullinated-peptide antibody-positive at-risk individuals.

OBJECTIVES: Inflammatory arthritis (IA) is considered the last stage of a disease continuum, where features of systemic autoimmunity can appear years before clinical synovitis. Time to progression to IA varies considerably between at-risk individuals, therefore the identification of biomarkers predictive of progression is of major importance. We previously reported on the value of three CD4+T-cell subsets as biomarkers of progression. Here, we aim to establish the value of 18 lymphocyte subsets (LS) for predicting progression to IA. METHODS: Participants were recruited based on a new musculoskeletal complaint and being positive for anti-citrullinated-peptide Antibody. Progression (over 10 years) was defined as the development of clinical synovitis. LS analysis was performed for lymphocyte lineages, naïve/memory subsets, inflammation-related cells (IRC), and regulatory cells (Treg/B-reg). Modelling used Logistic/Cox regressions. RESULTS: Of 210 patients included, 93 (44%) progressed to IA, 41/93 (44%) within 12 months (rapid progressors). 5/18 LS were associated with progression (Treg/CD4-naïve/IRC (adjusted p < 0.0001), CD8 (p = 0.021), B-reg (p = 0.015)) and 3 trends (NK-cells/memory-B-cells/plasmablasts).Unsupervised hierarchical clustering using these 8 subsets segregated 3 clusters of patients, one cluster being enriched (63/109(58%)) and one poor (10/45(22%)) in progressors.Combining all clinical and LS variables, forward logistic regression predicted progression with accuracy=85.7% and AUC=0.911, selecting smoking/Rheumatoid-Factor/HLA-Shared-Epitope/Tender-Joint-Count-78 and Treg/CD4-naive/CD8/NK-cells/B-reg/plasmablasts.To predict rapid progression, a Cox regression was performed resulting in a model combining smoking/rheumatoid factor and IRC/CD4-naïve/Treg/NK-cells/CD8+T-cells (AUC=0.794). CONCLUSION: Overall, progression was predicted by specific LS, suggesting potential triggers for events leading to the development of IA, while rapid progression was associated with a different set of subsets.

Ultrasound in the Management of Patients With Psoriatic Arthritis: Systematic Literature Review and Novel Algorithms for Pragmatic Use.

OBJECTIVE: In 2015, the European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology (EULAR) published recommendations for the use of imaging for the diagnosis and management of spondyloarthritis (SpA) in clinical practice. These recommendations included the use of ultrasound (US) in patients with psoriatic arthritis (PsA), but the management was not clearly distinguished from that of SpA. We aimed to systematically review the literature on the role of US for the management of PsA, and to propose pragmatic algorithms for its use in clinical practice. METHODS: A group of 10 rheumatologists, experienced in imaging and musculoskeletal US, met with the objectives of formulating key questions for a systematic literature review (SLR), appraising the available evidence, and then proposing algorithms on the application of US in suspected or established PsA, based on both the literature and experts' opinions following a Delphi process. RESULTS: The SLR included 120 articles, most of which focused on the diagnostic process. The elevated number of articles retrieved suggests the interest of rheumatologists in using US in the management of PsA. After a consensual discussion on literature data and expert opinion, the following 3 algorithms were developed to be used in practical situations: suspicion of PsA, management of PsA with good clinical response, and management of PsA with insufficient clinical response. CONCLUSION: The SLR showed interest by rheumatologists in using US to objectively evaluate PsA for diagnosis and management. We propose 3 practical algorithms to guide its use in the clinical management of patients, from diagnosis to the assessment of treatment response. Further studies are needed to define remission and to assess the ability of US to predict disease severity.

Antibodies to leukotoxin A from the periodontal pathogen Aggregatibacter actinomycetemcomitans in patients at an increased risk of rheumatoid arthritis.

Objectives: Periodontitis and underlying bacteria have been linked to the development of rheumatoid arthritis (RA). One suggested pathogen is Aggregatibacter actinomycetemcomitans (A.a.), which expresses leukotoxin A (LtxA) that can citrullinate human proteins, providing a possible trigger for the production of anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPA). In this study, we seek to determine the presence of antibodies toward LtxA in patients at risk of developing RA. Methods: Two prospective observational patient cohorts (one Swedish and one British) with symptomatic at-risk patients were studied. Anti-LtxA antibodies were analyzed by a cell-based neutralization assay in baseline serum and compared to 100 Swedish blood donors that served as controls. Results: Serum anti-LtxA levels or positivity did not differ between patients and blood donors. In the British cohort, anti-LtxA was more prevalent among ACPA-positive arthralgia patients compared with ACPA-negative arthralgia cases (24% vs. 13%, p < 0.0001). In the Swedish at-risk cohort, anti-LtxA positive patients were at increased risk of progression to arthritis (hazard ratio (HR) 2.10, 95% CI 1.04-4.20), but this was not confirmed in the UK at-risk cohort (HR 0.99, CI 0.60-1.65). Conclusion: Serum anti-LtxA is not elevated before RA diagnosis, and associations with disease progression and ACPA levels differ between populations. Other features of the oral microbiome should be explored in upcoming periodontitis-related RA research.

Predicting Inflammatory Arthritis in At-Risk Persons: Development of Scores for Risk Stratification.

BACKGROUND: Inflammatory arthritis (IA) is an immune-related condition defined by the presence of clinical synovitis. Its most common form is rheumatoid arthritis. OBJECTIVE: To develop scores for predicting IA in at-risk persons using multidimensional biomarkers. DESIGN: Prospective observational cohort study. SETTING: Single-center, Leeds, United Kingdom. PARTICIPANTS: Persons with new musculoskeletal symptoms, a positive test result for anticitrullinated protein antibodies, and no clinical synovitis and followed for 48 weeks or more or until IA occurred. MEASUREMENTS: A simple score was developed using logistic regression, and a comprehensive score was developed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox proportional hazards regression. Internal validation with bootstrapping was estimated, and a decision curve analysis was done. RESULTS: Of 455 participants, 32.5% (148 of 455) developed IA, and 15.4% (70 of 455) developed it within 1 year. The simple score identified 249 low-risk participants with a false negative rate of 5% (and 206 high-risk participants with a false-positive rate of 72%). The comprehensive score identified 119 high-risk participants with a false-positive rate of 29% (and 336 low-risk participants with a false-negative rate of 19%); 40% of high-risk participants developed IA within 1 year and 71% within 5 years. LIMITATIONS: External validation is required. Recruitment occurred over 13 years, with lower rates of IA in later years. There was geographic variation in laboratory testing and recruitment availability. CONCLUSION: The simple score identified persons at low risk for IA who were less likely to need secondary care. The comprehensive score identified high-risk persons who could benefit from risk stratification and preventive measures. Both scores may be useful in clinical care and should also be useful in clinical trials. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institute for Health and Care Research Leeds Biomedical Research Centre.

Patient-level factors predictive of interstitial lung disease in rheumatoid arthritis: a systematic review.

Objective Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is an important cause of mortality in some patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Patient-level factors may predict which patients with RA are at the highest risk of developing ILD and are therefore candidates for screening for this complication of the underlying disease.Methods A systematic literature review was performed using PubMed, Embase and Scopus over a 10-year period up to July 2021. Publications reporting patient-level factors in patients with RA with and without ILD that were assessed before development of ILD (or were unchanged over time and therefore could be extrapolated to before development of ILD) were retrieved for assessment of evidence. Genetic variation in MUC5B and treatment with methotrexate were not included in the assessment of evidence because these factors have already been widely investigated for association with ILD.Results We found consistent associations of age, sex, smoking status and autoantibodies with development of ILD. For biomarkers such as Krebs von den Lungen 6, which have been shown to be diagnostic for ILD, there were no publications meeting criteria for this study.Conclusions This analysis provides an initial step in the identification of patient-level factors for potential development of a risk algorithm to identify patients with RA who may be candidates for screening for ILD. The findings represent a useful basis for future research leading to an improved understanding of the disease course and improved care for patients with RA at risk of development and progression of ILD.